Election latest: Sunak giving news conference - as Farage predicts how many votes Reform might win (2024)

Key points
  • The Politics Hub is live now - and we're also listening in to a news conference from Rishi Sunak
  • Catch up on events from the campaign trail in our evening bulletin
  • Farage demands to be included in leaders' event after poll puts Reform ahead of Tories
  • He claims Reform UK could win over six million votes
  • 'Vote for Reform would give blank cheque to Labour': Sunak reacts
  • Tory claims on Labour 'secret' tax rise plans unpacked
  • Listen to the Electoral Dysfunction podcastas you scroll andtap hereto follow wherever you get your podcasts
  • Live reporting by Katie Williams
Election essentials
  • Check parties' manifesto pledges:Conservatives|Greens|Labour|Lib Dems|Plaid Cymru
  • Trackers:Who's leading polls?|Is PM keeping promises?
  • Campaign Heritage:Memorable moments from elections gone by
  • Follow Sky's politics podcasts:Electoral Dysfunction|Politics At Jack And Sam's
  • Read more:Who is standing down?|Key seats to watch|How to register to vote|What counts as voter ID?|Check if your constituency is changing|Your essential guide to election lingo|Sky's election night plans

19:09:32

It's just one poll putting Reform ahead of the Tories - but it matters

We are halfway through the campaign, and something pretty extraordinary has happened.

Reform are ahead of the Conservatives.

It's just one You Gov poll - others give the Conservatives a bigger lead on Reform.

But it does matter. It matters because it gives Nigel Farage's words weight when he says his party is now the opposition to Labour.

It matters because it comes after the Conservative manifesto - a moment where parties would usually see a poll bounce. 72-pages the PM threw everything at to try to shift the dial.

Number 10 have got to be wondering what leavers are left to pull?

And what comes next matters not just for the outcome of this election, but for the future of the Conservative Party and centre right British politics.

19:09:13

Conversation on illegal migration has changed, Sunak says

The next question for Rishi Sunak at the G7 summit comes from The Telegraph, which puts to the prime minister that "many Conservatives" were "disappointed" that the Tory manifesto did not include a pledge to leave the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR).

He's asked if he's confident that he has the support of G7 leaders on his view that the ECHR needs reform.

Mr Sunak says he believes the Tories' plans are "compatible with our international obligations".

But he adds that if he were forced to choose "between the security of our borders and our country and a foreign court... I'm going to put our country's security first every single time".

The prime minister says the "conversation in Europe" has changed on illegal migration, but reiterates that he is "clear" on his position.

19:03:12

PM asked if he told Ukrainian leader UK would support him no matter election outcome

The Politics Hub show is live now, but first we're bringing you updates from Rishi Sunak's news conference at the G7.

Mr Sunak is taking questions from the media after his speech at the summit in Italy.

He's first asked if he reassured Volodymyr Zelenskyy that the UK will continue to support Kyiv no matter the result of the general election.

Mr Sunak says he could only assure the Ukrainian president what he would do if the Conservatives were in government.

But he adds: "I am able to give him that reassurance that our support for Ukraine will continue... I can make that commitment to him because I've made the decision to increase defence spending."

19:02:33

The Politics Hub is live

Our weeknight politics showPolitics Hubis live now on Sky News with ourpolitical correspondentAli Fortescuehosting this evening.

Meanwhile, we'll keep bringing you updates on Rishi Sunak's news conference from the G7.

The fast-paced programme dissects the inner workings of Westminster, with interviews, insights, and analysis - bringing you, the audience, into the corridors of power.

Joining Ali tonight are former justice secretaryDavid Gaukeand Labour shadow employment ministerAlison McGovern.

On the panel tonight are:

  • Andrew Fisher,former head of policy for Jeremy Corbyn
  • Claire Pearsall,former Conservative special adviser

Watch live on Sky News, in the stream at the top of this page, and follow live updates here in the Politics Hub.

WatchPolitics Hub With Sophy Ridgefrom Monday to Thursday on Sky channel 501, Virgin channel 602, Freeview channel 233, on theSky News websiteandappor onYouTube.

18:51:31

Sunak: World more dangerous than it's been for decades

Rishi Sunak begins his speech by saying the world today is "more dangerous that it has been for decades".

He says the UK has made a "hard and fast pledge" to increase defence spending and is taking "unprecedented action to stop the boats and reduce migration".

Mr Sunak adds he is "pleased" the G7 has committed to "closer coordination on AI safety following the UK's lead at Bletchley Park".

"The problems we face are global in nature," he says.

The prime minister, laying out three main issues the G7 is focusing on at the three-day summit, says illegal migration is now a "global emergency", adding: "We cannot stand by and watch his human tragedy unfold."

Mr Sunak says China's "assertiveness" has also "intensified" since the last G7 summit in Hiroshima, with Beijing conducting "cyber-targeting" of MPs and working with other countries such as Russia, Iran and North Korea.

On the Ukraine war, he says the UK has "complete and total unity" with Kyiv, adding that "Ukraine's security is our security".

"Ukraine's security is our security - we're in this for the long term. Putin will not outlast us," he says.

The prime minister calls a $50bn loan deal for Ukraine agreed by G7 leaders yesterday a "historic breakthrough".

"True justice will only come when Russia leaves Ukraine," he adds, saying he will travel to Switzerland tomorrow for the Ukraine peace summit.

18:49:16

Sunak speaking at G7 summit

Rishi Sunak is making an address now at the G7 summit in Italy.

We'll bring all the key moments from the news conference as it happens.

18:20:01

Coming up on Politics Hub

Our weeknight politics showPolitics Hubwill be live on Sky News from 7pm with our political correspondent Ali Fortescue hosting this evening.

The fast-paced programme dissects the inner workings of Westminster, with interviews, insights, and analysis - bringing you, the audience, into the corridors of power.

Joining Ali tonight are former justice secretaryDavid Gaukeand Labour shadow employment minister Alison McGovern.

On the panel tonight are:

  • Andrew Fisher, former head of policy for Jeremy Corbyn
  • Claire Pearsall, former Conservative special adviser

Watch live on Sky News, in the stream at the top of this page, and follow live updates here in the Politics Hub.

WatchPolitics Hubfrom 7pm every night during the election campaign on Sky channel 501, Virgin channel 602, Freeview channel 233, on theSky News websiteandappor onYouTube.

18:00:01

Johnson most responsible if Tories lose election, according to voters

A new poll reveals which Conservative prime minister Britons think would be responsible for a Tory election loss - and it's not the current leader.

The new research by YouGov reveals 25% of Labour, Conservative and Lib Dem voters believe Boris Johnson would have been most responsible if the Tories fail to win on 4 July.

The former prime minister won a thumping majority in the 2019 election, but a series of scandals led to him standing down less than three years later.

According to the YouGov poll, Rishi Sunak was close behind at 23% when it came to who voters as a whole thought would be responsible for a Tory loss.

But among Conservative voters, Mr Sunak took the largest share at 27%, compared to 23% for Liz Truss and 19% for Mr Johnson. Labour and Lib Dem voters were more likely to blame Mr Johnson (37% and 39% respectively).

Some 17% of people said Liz Truss, who resigned as prime minister in October 2022 after a chaotic 45 days in Number 10, would be responsible.

Of the Tory prime ministers from the last 14 years, Theresa May was seen to be least responsible with just 3% of all votes.

17:40:01

Majority of voters undecided despite unveiling of manifesto promises, Sky News YouGov panel suggests

By Laura Bundock, Sky correspondent

Manifestos have failed to make up the minds of the majority of the Sky News YouGov Voters Panel.

Most of our unique panel told us they're still undecided who to vote for on 4 July.

When asked what our voters were hoping to hear, the answers were wide-ranging. The NHS came up repeatedly, as did tax, immigration and the environment.

Our exclusive Voters Panel managed by pollster YouGov represents more than 40 different seats and many different political views.

We asked everyone on the panel for their views on each of the manifestos.

The Lib Dems launched first, and their policies received a lot of positive comments.

One voter described the manifesto as "radical and ambitious".

Another picked out the plan to tackle tax evasion: "That really stood out to me because I think there's a lot of money that is left on the table with people avoiding tax in a number of different ways."

However, a few weren't convinced a Lib Dem vote would make any difference. "I still get the gut feeling it could be a wasted vote," came one response.

Some of our older panellists were more supportive of the Conservative manifesto.

"As someone who is approaching retirement age, I think the triple lock plus is of particular interest," one mentioned.

The Rwanda policy continues to divide, but it is popular with some of the panel. One told us: "I'm in favour of the more stringent immigration policies, and think this will give us a bit more stability with regards to the net migration."

But there was scepticism too, and some of the younger voters were unimpressed.

"I'm 24, I see absolutely nothing in here that is going to help me in my life and is probably actively going to make it a lot worse," one person said.

Labour might be leading the polls, but several on our panel questioned how the manifesto pledges would be paid for.

"I do wonder in general if the amount of change that they are putting forward is realistic, and if it is realistic, at what cost?" said a voter.

Others were broadly positive.

A panel member said: "My thoughts on the Labour policies are that they're all relevant, especially those for education and on the environment. And they're also fairly convincing."

Manisfestos are a mainstay of election campaigns, a moment meant to help make minds up.

But the majority of our panel are undecided and still unable to commit to a party and their polices.

"The elephant in the room for all parties is still the funding and it's still not quite clear how all the parties intend to raise the funding to implement their ideas," one voter said.

17:37:07

Parliamentary watchdog says Douglas Ross 'football expense' claims were within rules

The parliamentary watchdog says it is taking no further action after launching a review into reports Douglas Ross may have used Westminster expenses to travel in his role as a football linesman.

Mr Ross - the leader of the Scottish Conservatives - said the expenses claims were approved by the Independent Parliamentary Standards Authority (IPSA).

He acknowledged that "any breaking of the rules with expenses is a serious breach", but added he was "very comfortable" with the claims he has made.

In a statement this evening, a spokesperson for IPSA said: "We have reviewed Mr Ross's travel claims, relating to the allegations made in the press, and met with him to discuss the issues that have been raised.

"Following this review, we are satisfied that the claims were within IPSA's rules and no further action is required."

Election latest: Sunak giving news conference - as Farage predicts how many votes Reform might win (2024)
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